An exclusive research by Villa Finder, the leader in villa rentals in Asia-Pacific, on the impact of the travel restrictions on the US$440m villa market in Asia, together with an outlook of the upcoming re-start of the vacation rentals sector in the region
The Covid-19 pandemic has heavily impacted the travel industry, and the villa market in the Asia Pacific region is no exception. Border closure, social distancing, new hygiene standards and the overall uncertainty about whether it is safe to travel are some of the changes the market over the past year. In this article, we are going to share more about how the pandemic has affected the APAC villa rental market, how villa owners have coped with this and also what the future will look like for villa rental.
The APAC villa rental market in 2021
Due to the total travel shutdown, the overall Asia Pacific market reduced by 38% in 2021. The market size has reduced to US$271m from US$440m in 2019. We see a downward trend in villa supply, occupancy and average rate across markets, apart from some exceptions where there was a boost in domestic travel demand.
Bali market decreased by 66%. It is now the second largest market after Sydney. However, the market still has the highest number of villas available for full-time holiday rental. Despite a 20% reduction, there are still holiday villas in Bali. The average price is reduced by 34%. The average rate is less than US$150/night.
Market with the biggest drop is Danang (79%). According to the General Statistics Office of Vietnam, in March 2020, the number of international travellers coming to the country amounted to 450,000, a 68% decrease from the previous year. After March, there were almost no international travellers. (source)
Despite the lockdown, we see some positive signs for domestic travel in Australia. Byron Bay, Perth & Sydney saw a double-digit increase in villa supply. Sydney is now the biggest market, reaching US$58m (an increase of 13% from 2019). Byron Bay grew by 80%. The number of listings, rate as well as occupancy went up. This growth is due to the fact that many people listed their home or second home for vacation, and the government also has several initiatives to boost domestic demand like the Regional Tourism Recovery initiative, NT Tourism campaign and subsidies for domestic regional routes.
APAC villa owners’ response to Covid-19 pandemic
1. Fast response to the changing environment
Despite the initial shock, APAC villa owners have quickly adopted new safety measures such as social distancing, mask and new hygiene standards. “We have actively changed the way we operate, building COVID safe measures into our physical spaces, the way we interact with guests, the way we interact together as colleagues and really, into absolutely everything we do. But we have coped by coming together as a team and feel more united than ever in our common goal of delivering sensational, safe experiences for our valued guests from all over the world,” shared Libby Spears, Sales and Marketing Manager of H2 Life, manager of over 200 luxury vacation rentals in Niseko.
2. Focus on the domestic market
In destinations like Niseko where travel is heavily seasonal, villa owners are now appealing visitors to travel during off-peak periods as well. “Building on our year-round appeal for this market is a key strategy which will increase our business for years to come,” said Spears.
In Bali, while the destination was closed to foreign visitors, we saw domestic travel gradually picking up. I Gusti Ngurah Rai Airport recorded significant growth from June to November 2020. On average, the number of flights grew by 56.1%, and the passenger growth was 101.4% (source).
3. “Corona-deals” for digital nomads and long-term tenants
In 2020, many villas offered what we called “Corona-deals”, targeting digital nomads and international visitors who were stuck in the destination. They opened the villas for long-term rentals at a fraction of the usual rate. Airbnb also recorded 6 million global listings available for monthly rental, many offering a discount for extended stays. (source)
Perspectives on 2021 and the future of post-pandemic travel
1. Expectation of a domestic travel boom
When travel restarts, we will see recovery for domestic travels first. While international borders remain closed, many countries such as Australia and Vietnam are easing restrictions for domestic trips. The Australian government, for example, halves the price of nearly 800,000 flights to encourage people to spend more on their trips. (source)
2. Uncertainty of when international travel will reopen
“Travel in the region won’t resume until at least Q4 of this year, and we probably won’t see any proper recovery until the second part of 2022,” shared Daniel Rouquette, Managing Director of Villa Finder. He went on to share that Villa Finder were looking out for various signs of a potential comeback. The international market depends on many elements such as the vaccination rate across the globe, the pandemic development, Covid travel protocol and quarantine process in host countries.
Jack Eden, CEO of Eden Villas, a specialist in luxury villas in Sri Lanka, echoed the sentiment: “I was always of the view that 2021 would be difficult. [W]hilst we will try our best within the allowed parameters, gladly accepting the business we can secure, our budgeting has always been focused on 2022.”
“There will be some nervousness to begin with as the world reacquaints itself with travelling and individuals slowly regain confidence outside the safe confines of their home country.
We know that skiers and snowboarders are adventurers at heart, and that they are getting more and more impatient to travel, so we expect that snow lovers will be among the first to take the plunge and resume travelling abroad. We are lucky that Niseko and Furano are located in the stunning Hokkaido countryside and we believe guests will be seeking out destinations outside of the busy cities when they initially return to travelling,” shared Spears.
3. Different travel expectations from consumers
Safety measures such as mask-wearing, social distancing and disinfection of public spaces and flexible cancellation policies will be fundamental rather than a nice-to-have. Having a travel insurance policy that covers Covid-19 has also become mandatory in many countries like Cambodia, Laos and Thailand. On top of that, some expectations remain unchanged.
“[G]uests still crave sensational experiences as they always have. Their desire for outstanding accommodations, memorable activities, attentive and personalized service, and the normality of being able to do what you want, when you want, while on holiday will still exist. In fact, it will be more important than ever.” Spears said.
4. Optimism about the future of travel
Experts remain optimistic about the villa market, especially after the pandemic. Post-covid will be a very interesting time for the villa market, traveller behaviours are shifting. There is still demand for travel. According to a research by Airbnb, people miss travelling. They want to travel to connect with friends and family. They want to travel nearby and travel safely. (source)
“[T]here is demand out there for long haul travel and so once we can all travel without hindrance the industry will recover,” Eden remarked.
“It’s the golden question and predicting when travel will come back with certainty is a challenge. But we are optimistic to have international guests from some parts of the world joining us before the end of the year,” Spears expressed.
5. A shift from hotels to villas and other alternative accommodations
The post-Covid world will also bring an interesting opportunity to the villa rental market. Experts believe that the demand for villa rentals will return stronger than ever. Travellers will want a smaller place, away from the crowd and avoid sharing facilities with other guests. This makes villas the best choice of accommodation.
According to a research by AirDNA, short-term rentals are weathering the Covid-19 impact much better than hotels. Although it’s still too soon to consider any upward trend a rebound, it is worth noting that the alternative accommodations are showing more resilience. Larger properties (4-bedroom villas, etc.) have the strongest performance. (source)
“Villas will recover well and will be the first choice of accommodation. Villas offer a ‘home from home’ experience whilst being looked after by a team dedicated to that villa including a private Chef, Butler and housekeeping staff. With a dedicated concierge service arranging everything villa guests can enjoy the variety of what a country can offer within the private setting of their own villa. Compare that to a hotel and what is there not to like?” Eden concluded.